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6Jul 2012

(UPDATED*) Australian, AP, etc: US weather and Earth warming not the same, but one has Americans thinking about t'other.

Weather Underground

The causation confusion cycle has played out again as it will many more times in US and to an extent international media over the last week. Whether it's a hurricane hitting Florida or New Orleans or Maryland, failing oyster farms in Oregon to British Columbia, absurd drought in Texas and Oklahoma, or tornadoes spewing record numbers of trailer parts to kingdom come, media entertain The question. Is this global warming? Usually, it gets the same fuzzy answer: It could have happened anytime under any climate regime, but such things getting more frequent is consistent with global warming and buildup of greenhouse gases. So true, so tiresome.

So again with Colorado and western wildfires and most important the recent thunderstorm barrage in the eastern US, its ferocious blackout-spawning winds of the terrifically evocative sort named derechos embedded in an epic, early-summer heat wave.

Of all places it was in Australia that the impact on the American psyche got the most succinct description, from NOAA boss and oceanographer Jane Lubchenco at a conference:

  • The Australian - Lauren Wilson: Extreme weather shifts US attitudes on climate; In which the reporter hastens to add, in the lede, that there is "no evidence linking some of the events to global warming." Perhaps she meant to write no proof or no conclusive evidence. But no evidence means zero on the aye side. Even if the preponderance is either abstain or nay, there's gotta be some basis for arguing that without the shifted baselines of climate the chances for such heat and thunderstorms and whatnot would have been way, way smaller. The bulk of the story is fine - and its quote from Lubchenco that there is 'insufficient" evidence for links is clear suggestion there is some.
  • AP (Rod Mcquirk? Most pickup lacks byline): US science official says more extreme events convincing many American climate change is real; Late addition. Yes, it's McQuirk.

Other outlets also are finding reason to associate weather weirding with climate change:

*UPDATE (July 9): A package to which our attention mustered thanks to some modest hornblowing in comments:

As long as we're sitting here on  July 9 updating this, here's the latest, welcome news:

- Charlie Petit

Comments

Thanks Andrew - especially because I'd seen something you did at CC lately, probably this lot, then looked again at the site and didn't spot it in my usual fast and unsteady scan. I'll update the post proper.

Charlie,

Enjoyed this roundup, but have to give a plug for our extensive covg. of the heat and derecho events over at Climate Central. While not blaming these events on climate change outright, we're making very clear (like Seth has for AP and Jason has at WaPo) that what's going on is consistent with recent and anticipated trends.

http://www.climatecentral.org/news/heat-wave-rivals-events-of-dust-bowl-...

http://www.climatecentral.org/news/historic-heat-wave-marches-on-as-drou...

http://www.climatecentral.org/news/heat-wave-continues-as-storm-cleanup-...

Cheers,
-Andrew

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