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Category: predictions

There are any number of things you could say about the science-fiction master Isaac Asimov, but Jason Snell at TechHive captures him as well as anyone could: "Isaac Asimov,"...

There are any number of things you could say about the science-fiction master Isaac Asimov, but Jason Snell at TechHive captures him as well as anyone could: "Isaac Asimov," he writes, "was a pretty cool guy."

Snell reports that Asimov wrote 500 books, which impressed me, considering that it's 496 more than I've written, and my last one isn't quite finished. Asimov's work included fiction, nonfiction, short stories, long stories, and one small piece for The New York Times that Snell and others found interesting: In 1964, at the time of the World's Fair, Asimov wrote a piece for the Times in which he predicted what the 2014 World's Fair would look like.

Some of those predictions were...

The Neiman Journalism Lab ...

The Neiman Journalism Lab ran a piece yesterday by Sam Petulla on the increasing use of "sentiment analysis" in journalism. If the term is unfamiliar, the practice probably isn't. It's the use of such things a Facebook comments and analytical software to separate positive comments from negative ones, and to see how they correlate with, say, the results of an election. 

Petulla doesn't do much in the way of explaining how such analysis is conducted, but he does show that its use is increasing, and that it offers both promise and peril. "What’s interesting about the use of sentiment analysis by...

Nate Silver's rational approach to politics seems to provoke highly irrational responses.

At SlateDaniel Engber ...

Nate Silver's rational approach to politics seems to provoke highly irrational responses.

At SlateDaniel Engber writes that Silver, author of the FiveThirtyEight blog at The New York Times, "appears to have hit the mark in every state--a perfect 50 green M&Ms for accuracy." Engber links to a map of Silver's predictions versus a map of the results. Impressive, right? But Engber can't...